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Red40
264024.1
929612.7
904212.3
Blue116
776333.5
264244.3
929718.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3810105015040116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
#18
24.10.3
18.718.4
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End6.0
blue by 20.2
44.31.3
38.840.1
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.8
Second
9296
#27
12.70.3
13.413.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End4.7
blue by 20.8
33.51.3
33.134.4
Auto9.1
Teleop17.2
End7.3
Third
9042
#28
12.30.3
11.811.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End2.8
blue by 6.3
9297
#15
18.61.3
14.916.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned