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Red99
560727.8
519029.8
382210.8
Blue59
875717.7
69089.4
744325.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67460204060801001209959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.81.6
26.728.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End6.9
red by 4.3
25.50.1
21.721.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End8.1
Second
27.81.6
23.424.9
Auto10.1
Teleop9.8
End7.9
red by 10.1
8757
#30
17.70.1
14.314.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End6.4
Third
3822
#20
10.81.6
10.512.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End2.6
red by 1.4
6908
#31
9.40.1
9.89.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed