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Red90
875717.7
650233.1
551831.5
Blue73
903219.4
373719.2
744325.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88652040801001201401609073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.1
32.232.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End7.2
red by 7.6
25.50.1
25.425.5
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End8.1
Second
31.50.1
30.730.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End9.3
red by 12.1
9032
#16
19.40.1
19.319.4
Auto5.4
Teleop10.4
End3.7
Third
8757
#30
17.70.1
16.817.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End6.4
blue by 1.6
3737
#11
19.20.1
19.219.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End7.3