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Red130
776333.5
264244.3
482814.3
Blue77
873824.8
560727.8
264024.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1036905015020013077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.30.7
44.445.1
Auto13.1
Teleop23.4
End7.8
red by 16.5
27.80.2
25.325.4
Auto10.1
Teleop9.8
End7.9
Second
33.50.7
33.634.3
Auto9.1
Teleop17.2
End7.3
red by 8.7
8738
#21
24.80.2
22.422.5
Auto8.6
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Third
4828
#26
14.30.7
14.315.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End5.0
blue by 9.9
2640
#18
24.10.2
21.621.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End6.0