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Red84
313430.3
842222.3
725742.5
Blue136
604549.7
265427.7
321628.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210170809011012013014084136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.51.3
37.336.1
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End8.5
blue by 7.2
49.72.4
43.946.2
Auto15.9
Teleop26.6
End7.2
Second
3134
#17
30.31.3
31.129.8
Auto12.1
Teleop11.6
End6.7
red by 2.1
28.33.9
25.729.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End7.7
Third
8422
#47
22.31.3
26.925.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End5.6
blue by 5.4
2654
#31
27.73.9
26.029.9
Auto8.5
Teleop13.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned