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Red87
460750.5
423932.6
423816.9
Blue107
785822.6
466336.7
87642.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9693608012014016087107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.3
46.846.4
Auto13.9
Teleop27.0
End9.7
red by 7.6
876
#11
42.92.1
37.039.1
Auto10.3
Teleop26.3
End6.3
Second
4239
#10
32.60.2
32.332.1
Auto11.2
Teleop14.0
End7.4
blue by 4.0
4663
#12
36.72.1
28.430.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.6
End7.2
Third
4238
#49
16.90.3
10.910.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.3
blue by 5.7
7858
#27
22.62.1
22.424.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
68%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsEarned