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Red85
87724.9
330018.5
53726.6
Blue33
329330.2
818818.4
253122.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5584020401001201408533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
#37
26.63.3
22.025.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End8.6
blue by 3.6
3293
#22
30.24.7
31.626.9
Auto6.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0
Second
877
#21
24.93.3
18.221.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End7.9
red by 2.7
2531
#44
22.22.8
24.421.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End6.9
Third
3300
#35
18.53.3
15.418.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End5.6
red by 0.1
8188
#24
18.44.7
19.214.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsMissed