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Red139
422618.5
460750.5
604549.7
Blue98
247036.7
250938.1
305828.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301098010012014016018013998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.4
50.851.2
Auto13.9
Teleop27.0
End9.7
red by 12.4
38.10.3
38.738.4
Auto11.6
Teleop20.4
End6.2
Second
49.70.3
50.050.3
Auto15.9
Teleop26.6
End7.2
red by 13.1
2470
#15
36.70.3
37.336.9
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End5.9
Third
4226
#18
18.50.3
18.719.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End5.9
blue by 10.0
3058
#26
28.50.3
29.128.8
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End7.0