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Red119
87642.9
363023.0
702846.4
Blue134
563839.2
725742.5
313430.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211176080100140160180119134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.0
46.646.6
Auto16.2
Teleop21.8
End8.5
red by 3.9
42.50.4
42.042.4
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End8.5
Second
876
#11
42.90.0
43.043.1
Auto10.3
Teleop26.3
End6.3
red by 3.6
39.20.4
38.739.1
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End7.0
Third
3630
#34
23.00.0
23.123.1
Auto7.2
Teleop7.6
End8.2
blue by 7.4
3134
#17
30.30.4
29.830.2
Auto12.1
Teleop11.6
End6.7