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Red104
247036.7
250938.1
305828.5
Blue139
288343.0
517237.6
614640.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091216080100140160180104139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.3
38.438.1
Auto11.6
Teleop20.4
End6.2
blue by 4.9
2883
#16
43.00.6
40.240.8
Auto11.7
Teleop22.7
End8.7
Second
2470
#15
36.70.3
36.936.7
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End5.9
blue by 3.4
6146
#14
40.00.6
37.237.8
Auto10.9
Teleop20.4
End8.7
Third
3058
#26
28.50.3
28.828.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End7.0
blue by 9.1
37.60.6
34.735.3
Auto5.9
Teleop20.8
End10.9