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Qual 102023 STEM Expo
Red108
87657.4
704820.2
327729.0
Blue107
467428.4
310239.5
453928.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8982050150200250300108107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#1
57.40.4
51.4→51.8
Auto11.7
Teleop44.3
End1.2
red by 17.9
3102
#2
39.50.9
37.3→38.2
Auto9.8
Teleop28.3
End1.4
Second
3277
#3
29.00.4
23.1→23.5
Auto3.4
Teleop24.5
End1.2
red by 0.5
4539
#10
28.50.9
33.2→34.0
Auto6.6
Teleop22.4
End-0.5
Third
7048
#8
20.20.4
22.1→22.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.2
End-0.0
blue by 8.1
4674
#4
28.40.9
23.2→24.0
Auto5.5
Teleop23.8
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsEarned