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Red69
467428.4
327527.8
436012.0
Blue95
704820.2
313432.2
87722.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455402060801001206995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.8
22.323.2
Auto5.5
Teleop23.8
End-0.8
blue by 3.8
32.22.1
25.127.2
Auto7.6
Teleop24.6
End0.2
Second
27.80.8
24.525.3
Auto7.1
Teleop20.4
End0.2
red by 5.7
877
#7
22.12.1
18.220.3
Auto3.3
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Third
12.00.8
9.910.7
Auto1.2
Teleop11.8
End-1.0
blue by 8.2
20.22.1
20.022.1
Auto5.1
Teleop15.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsEarned