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Red126
346132.9
511235.6
568755.9
Blue124
314638.7
22826.0
632441.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11795050150200126124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.90.6
49.550.1
Auto15.3
Teleop32.8
End6.7
red by 14.0
6324
#12
41.91.1
37.338.4
Auto12.7
Teleop24.5
End4.8
Second
5112
#13
35.60.6
27.628.2
Auto10.4
Teleop17.2
End8.0
blue by 3.1
3146
#21
38.71.1
33.234.3
Auto13.1
Teleop17.6
End7.7
Third
3461
#30
32.90.6
30.130.6
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End6.8
red by 6.9
228
#34
26.01.1
21.422.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsEarned