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Red139
769430.9
31955.9
23844.8
Blue137
910138.8
13368.1
264835.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12514650100200250139137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#9
55.91.3
48.049.3
Auto16.0
Teleop32.9
End7.0
blue by 12.1
133
#2
68.10.2
60.861.0
Auto18.7
Teleop38.7
End10.4
Second
238
#11
44.81.3
39.640.9
Auto12.9
Teleop22.5
End9.3
red by 6.1
9101
#38
38.80.2
38.538.7
Auto11.0
Teleop19.6
End8.4
Third
7694
#33
30.91.3
32.033.3
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End7.5
blue by 4.2
2648
#40
35.10.2
34.234.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned