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Red133
110049.8
314638.7
511235.6
Blue81
545930.7
365428.7
910138.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131095015020013381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.81.1
43.344.5
Auto11.7
Teleop28.3
End8.9
red by 11.0
9101
#38
38.81.4
39.337.9
Auto11.0
Teleop19.6
End8.4
Second
3146
#21
38.71.1
34.335.5
Auto13.1
Teleop17.6
End7.7
red by 8.0
5459
#43
30.71.4
30.328.8
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End6.5
Third
5112
#13
35.61.1
28.229.3
Auto10.4
Teleop17.2
End8.0
red by 6.9
3654
#39
28.71.4
33.131.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned