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Red135
808552.5
22826.0
13368.1
Blue129
287637.4
870840.2
31955.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149120100200135129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#2
68.10.4
61.060.5
Auto18.7
Teleop38.7
End10.4
red by 12.1
319
#9
55.90.2
49.349.4
Auto16.0
Teleop32.9
End7.0
Second
8085
#26
52.50.4
53.152.7
Auto12.6
Teleop30.8
End8.5
red by 12.3
8708
#23
40.20.2
33.233.4
Auto9.8
Teleop22.0
End8.5
Third
228
#34
26.00.4
22.622.1
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End8.9
blue by 11.4
2876
#37
37.40.2
33.934.1
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned