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Red87
264835.1
769430.9
791335.5
Blue129
888941.9
801350.8
99944.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991375015020087129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7913
#35
35.51.0
29.728.7
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End8.1
blue by 15.3
8013
#27
50.80.3
48.648.3
Auto12.4
Teleop30.1
End7.5
Second
2648
#40
35.11.0
34.433.3
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End7.8
blue by 9.1
999
#20
44.20.3
40.440.1
Auto12.6
Teleop21.7
End9.2
Third
7694
#33
30.91.0
33.332.2
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End7.5
blue by 11.0
8889
#25
41.90.3
36.836.4
Auto12.0
Teleop21.3
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsMissed69%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed84%Activation oddsMissed