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Red165
287750.9
632966.3
872445.2
Blue150
17239.5
19568.6
237050.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158154100120140180200220240165150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#17
66.31.2
69.670.7
Auto15.3
Teleop39.2
End9.7
blue by 2.3
195
#4
68.60.4
67.868.1
Auto15.6
Teleop43.6
End8.7
Second
2877
#18
50.91.2
46.447.6
Auto12.9
Teleop29.5
End7.9
red by 0.9
2370
#24
50.00.4
45.746.0
Auto12.4
Teleop28.1
End9.0
Third
8724
#10
45.21.2
39.340.5
Auto12.3
Teleop24.1
End8.0
red by 5.6
172
#32
39.50.4
32.933.2
Auto10.1
Teleop23.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned