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Red172
13368.1
31955.9
314638.7
Blue97
365428.7
816735.7
107126.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165835010015020017297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#2
68.11.5
60.562.0
Auto18.7
Teleop38.7
End10.4
red by 32.3
8167
#41
35.70.1
31.231.1
Auto12.0
Teleop16.8
End7.0
Second
319
#9
55.91.5
49.451.0
Auto16.0
Teleop32.9
End7.0
red by 27.2
3654
#39
28.70.1
31.731.6
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Third
3146
#21
38.71.5
35.537.0
Auto13.1
Teleop17.6
End7.7
red by 12.1
1071
#36
26.60.1
25.125.0
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed