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Red124
808552.5
870840.2
769430.9
Blue140
791335.5
581347.6
320553.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127126100110120130140150160124140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#26
52.50.0
52.752.7
Auto12.6
Teleop30.8
End8.5
blue by 0.5
53.01.4
48.850.2
Auto13.0
Teleop31.4
End8.4
Second
8708
#23
40.20.0
33.433.5
Auto9.8
Teleop22.0
End8.5
blue by 7.3
5813
#19
47.61.4
41.743.0
Auto12.2
Teleop26.8
End8.5
Third
7694
#33
30.90.0
32.232.3
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End7.5
blue by 4.6
7913
#35
35.51.4
28.730.1
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned