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Red135
511235.6
31955.9
910138.8
Blue119
676334.8
237050.0
615344.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231150200300400500600700135119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#9
55.90.4
48.749.0
Auto16.0
Teleop32.9
End7.0
red by 5.9
2370
#24
50.00.7
44.144.7
Auto12.4
Teleop28.1
End9.0
Second
9101
#38
38.80.4
38.138.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.6
End8.4
blue by 5.3
6153
#28
44.10.7
37.938.6
Auto11.4
Teleop23.4
End9.0
Third
5112
#13
35.60.4
27.628.0
Auto10.4
Teleop17.2
End8.0
red by 0.7
6763
#29
34.80.7
26.927.6
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned