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Red143
862626.8
632966.3
715343.9
Blue115
872445.2
769430.9
318232.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13710450150200143115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#17
66.31.2
66.868.1
Auto15.3
Teleop39.2
End9.7
red by 21.1
8724
#10
45.20.5
39.640.2
Auto12.3
Teleop24.1
End8.0
Second
43.91.2
37.939.1
Auto13.9
Teleop22.1
End8.0
red by 11.5
3182
#42
32.50.5
31.932.4
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End5.5
Third
8626
#31
26.81.2
19.821.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End7.2
blue by 4.1
7694
#33
30.90.5
30.330.9
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned