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Red150
346132.9
740757.3
23844.8
Blue120
870840.2
7851.0
872445.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13712980100120160180200150120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.31.5
56.057.6
Auto16.6
Teleop32.3
End6.7
red by 6.3
78
#16
51.00.1
47.847.6
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End8.6
Second
238
#11
44.81.5
41.843.3
Auto12.9
Teleop22.5
End9.3
blue by 0.3
8724
#10
45.20.1
40.540.4
Auto12.3
Teleop24.1
End8.0
Third
3461
#30
32.91.5
29.330.8
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End6.8
blue by 7.4
8708
#23
40.20.1
33.533.4
Auto9.8
Teleop22.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned