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Red150
99944.2
17239.5
581347.6
Blue130
615344.1
632441.9
910138.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123125100140160150130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#19
47.62.3
43.045.3
Auto12.2
Teleop26.8
End8.5
red by 3.5
6153
#28
44.10.9
40.241.1
Auto11.4
Teleop23.4
End9.0
Second
999
#20
44.22.3
39.541.8
Auto12.6
Teleop21.7
End9.2
red by 2.3
6324
#12
41.90.9
40.040.9
Auto12.7
Teleop24.5
End4.8
Third
172
#32
39.52.3
33.235.5
Auto10.1
Teleop23.4
End6.1
red by 0.8
9101
#38
38.80.9
36.937.7
Auto11.0
Teleop19.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned