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Red155
13368.1
801350.8
511235.6
Blue103
862626.8
23735.3
456443.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15810550200155103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#2
68.10.9
62.062.9
Auto18.7
Teleop38.7
End10.4
red by 24.8
4564
#15
43.30.5
44.043.5
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End6.0
Second
8013
#27
50.80.9
48.949.8
Auto12.4
Teleop30.1
End7.5
red by 15.6
237
#14
35.30.5
36.536.0
Auto11.1
Teleop17.9
End6.1
Third
5112
#13
35.60.9
30.631.5
Auto10.4
Teleop17.2
End8.0
red by 8.7
8626
#31
26.80.5
24.624.1
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
87%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed