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Red129
314638.7
320553.0
568755.9
Blue106
287637.4
791335.5
19568.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144142100120160180200129106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.90.4
51.951.5
Auto15.3
Teleop32.8
End6.7
blue by 12.7
195
#4
68.61.8
68.166.3
Auto15.6
Teleop43.6
End8.7
Second
53.00.4
50.249.8
Auto13.0
Teleop31.4
End8.4
red by 15.6
2876
#37
37.41.8
35.533.6
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End6.6
Third
3146
#21
38.70.4
37.036.6
Auto13.1
Teleop17.6
End7.7
red by 3.2
7913
#35
35.51.8
30.128.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed