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Red108
107126.6
23844.8
676334.8
Blue107
287750.9
237050.0
740757.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9516750150200250108107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#11
44.80.6
43.344.0
Auto12.9
Teleop22.5
End9.3
blue by 12.5
57.32.7
57.654.9
Auto16.6
Teleop32.3
End6.7
Second
6763
#29
34.80.6
29.430.0
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End8.0
blue by 16.0
2877
#18
50.92.7
49.146.4
Auto12.9
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Third
1071
#36
26.60.6
25.726.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End6.8
blue by 23.4
2370
#24
50.02.7
47.344.6
Auto12.4
Teleop28.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned90%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed