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Red130
769430.9
23735.3
13368.1
Blue101
632441.9
860425.7
456443.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14511250100200130101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#2
68.10.1
62.962.8
Auto18.7
Teleop38.7
End10.4
red by 24.8
4564
#15
43.30.6
43.542.9
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End6.0
Second
237
#14
35.30.1
36.035.9
Auto11.1
Teleop17.9
End6.1
blue by 6.6
6324
#12
41.90.6
40.940.3
Auto12.7
Teleop24.5
End4.8
Third
7694
#33
30.90.1
33.032.8
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End7.5
red by 5.2
8604
#45
25.70.6
25.024.4
Auto9.1
Teleop10.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed