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Red119
715343.9
801350.8
264835.1
Blue104
632966.3
365428.7
15532.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13314350100200250119104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8013
#27
50.81.1
49.848.7
Auto12.4
Teleop30.1
End7.5
blue by 15.4
6329
#17
66.32.3
70.067.8
Auto15.3
Teleop39.2
End9.7
Second
43.91.1
41.740.6
Auto13.9
Teleop22.1
End8.0
red by 11.2
155
#44
32.72.3
33.331.1
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
Third
2648
#40
35.11.1
34.633.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End7.8
red by 6.4
3654
#39
28.72.3
29.627.3
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsMissed