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Red137
581347.6
110049.8
862626.8
Blue129
7851.0
287637.4
314638.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126123100110120130140150160137129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.81.4
46.047.4
Auto11.7
Teleop28.3
End8.9
blue by 1.2
78
#16
51.00.4
47.648.1
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End8.6
Second
5813
#19
47.61.4
45.346.8
Auto12.2
Teleop26.8
End8.5
red by 8.9
3146
#21
38.70.4
36.637.0
Auto13.1
Teleop17.6
End7.7
Third
8626
#31
26.81.4
24.125.6
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End7.2
blue by 10.6
2876
#37
37.40.4
33.634.0
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned