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Red142
910138.8
676334.8
19568.6
Blue147
490543.3
346132.9
13368.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144143135140145150142147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
68.60.1
66.366.4
Auto15.6
Teleop43.6
End8.7
red by 0.5
133
#2
68.10.5
62.863.3
Auto18.7
Teleop38.7
End10.4
Second
9101
#38
38.80.1
37.737.9
Auto11.0
Teleop19.6
End8.4
blue by 4.6
4905
#22
43.30.5
41.141.6
Auto13.5
Teleop20.1
End9.4
Third
6763
#29
34.80.1
30.030.2
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End8.0
red by 2.0
3461
#30
32.90.5
30.330.9
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned