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Red77
15532.7
860425.7
769430.9
Blue150
107126.6
99944.2
237050.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8912605010015020077150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#44
32.70.8
31.130.3
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
blue by 17.3
2370
#24
50.01.4
44.646.0
Auto12.4
Teleop28.1
End9.0
Second
7694
#33
30.90.8
32.832.1
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End7.5
blue by 13.3
999
#20
44.21.4
42.744.1
Auto12.6
Teleop21.7
End9.2
Third
8604
#45
25.70.8
24.423.7
Auto9.1
Teleop10.0
End6.7
blue by 0.9
1071
#36
26.61.4
26.327.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned