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Red125
31955.9
862626.8
615344.1
Blue130
320553.0
632441.9
365428.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12812390100110140150160125130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#9
55.90.3
53.754.0
Auto16.0
Teleop32.9
End7.0
red by 2.9
53.00.6
48.749.2
Auto13.0
Teleop31.4
End8.4
Second
6153
#28
44.10.3
40.540.9
Auto11.4
Teleop23.4
End9.0
red by 2.2
6324
#12
41.90.6
40.340.9
Auto12.7
Teleop24.5
End4.8
Third
8626
#31
26.80.3
25.625.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End7.2
blue by 1.9
3654
#39
28.70.6
27.327.9
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsEarned84%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned