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Red127
870840.2
545930.7
888941.9
Blue134
568755.9
23735.3
872445.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10314350200127134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8889
#25
41.91.7
38.740.4
Auto12.0
Teleop21.3
End8.3
blue by 14.0
55.90.3
54.454.7
Auto15.3
Teleop32.8
End6.7
Second
8708
#23
40.21.7
36.337.9
Auto9.8
Teleop22.0
End8.5
blue by 4.9
8724
#10
45.20.3
41.341.6
Auto12.3
Teleop24.1
End8.0
Third
5459
#43
30.71.7
27.028.7
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End6.5
blue by 4.6
237
#14
35.30.3
35.936.2
Auto11.1
Teleop17.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned