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Red115
365428.7
568755.9
287637.4
Blue152
872445.2
808552.5
17239.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241446080100160180200220115152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.90.6
54.453.8
Auto15.3
Teleop32.8
End6.7
red by 3.4
8085
#26
52.50.6
52.352.9
Auto12.6
Teleop30.8
End8.5
Second
2876
#37
37.40.6
35.735.1
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End6.6
blue by 7.8
8724
#10
45.20.6
42.843.4
Auto12.3
Teleop24.1
End8.0
Third
3654
#39
28.70.6
28.928.3
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End8.0
blue by 10.8
172
#32
39.50.6
38.739.3
Auto10.1
Teleop23.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned44%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned