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Red225
31955.9
632441.9
19568.6
Blue109
318232.5
15532.7
801350.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18411350100150200250225109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
68.60.4
67.668.0
Auto15.6
Teleop43.6
End8.7
red by 17.7
8013
#27
50.80.4
49.849.4
Auto12.4
Teleop30.1
End7.5
Second
319
#9
55.90.4
54.054.4
Auto16.0
Teleop32.9
End7.0
red by 23.2
155
#44
32.70.4
31.230.9
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
Third
6324
#12
41.90.4
42.142.5
Auto12.7
Teleop24.5
End4.8
red by 9.4
3182
#42
32.50.4
33.633.2
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
100%Sustainability oddsEarned59%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned