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Red133
314638.7
888941.9
581347.6
Blue191
13368.1
12561.9
676334.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127171100150200250133191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#19
47.60.5
46.346.9
Auto12.2
Teleop26.8
End8.5
blue by 20.5
133
#2
68.12.4
63.766.1
Auto18.7
Teleop38.7
End10.4
Second
8889
#25
41.90.5
40.741.3
Auto12.0
Teleop21.3
End8.3
blue by 20.0
125
#3
61.92.4
59.061.4
Auto17.9
Teleop33.9
End9.7
Third
3146
#21
38.70.5
37.838.3
Auto13.1
Teleop17.6
End7.7
red by 3.8
6763
#29
34.82.4
31.834.2
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned