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Red137
15532.7
107126.6
12561.9
Blue144
801350.8
862626.8
320553.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126135050100200250300350137144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#3
61.90.9
61.462.3
Auto17.9
Teleop33.9
End9.7
red by 8.9
53.01.2
51.252.4
Auto13.0
Teleop31.4
End8.4
Second
155
#44
32.70.9
30.931.7
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
blue by 18.1
8013
#27
50.81.2
49.450.6
Auto12.4
Teleop30.1
End7.5
Third
1071
#36
26.60.9
26.827.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End6.8
blue by 0.3
8626
#31
26.81.2
24.926.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned