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Red145
870840.2
19568.6
318232.5
Blue117
287637.4
910138.8
860425.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1589450200250145117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
68.60.3
68.068.3
Auto15.6
Teleop43.6
End8.7
red by 29.8
9101
#38
38.81.4
37.639.0
Auto11.0
Teleop19.6
End8.4
Second
8708
#23
40.20.3
38.939.3
Auto9.8
Teleop22.0
End8.5
red by 2.9
2876
#37
37.41.4
35.136.5
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End6.6
Third
3182
#42
32.50.3
33.233.5
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End5.5
red by 6.8
8604
#45
25.71.4
23.324.7
Auto9.1
Teleop10.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned