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Red128
888941.9
237050.0
23735.3
Blue106
511235.6
791335.5
862626.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1389750150200128106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#24
50.00.3
49.049.2
Auto12.4
Teleop28.1
End9.0
red by 14.4
5112
#13
35.60.7
34.935.6
Auto10.4
Teleop17.2
End8.0
Second
8889
#25
41.90.3
41.641.9
Auto12.0
Teleop21.3
End8.3
red by 6.3
7913
#35
35.50.7
34.935.5
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End8.1
Third
237
#14
35.30.3
35.035.3
Auto11.1
Teleop17.9
End6.1
red by 8.4
8626
#31
26.80.7
26.226.8
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned