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Red122
456443.3
910138.8
808552.5
Blue144
545930.7
715343.9
31955.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14813480100120160180200220122144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8085
#26
52.51.0
53.552.5
Auto12.6
Teleop30.8
End8.5
blue by 3.4
319
#9
55.90.8
54.455.2
Auto16.0
Teleop32.9
End7.0
Second
4564
#15
43.31.0
44.343.3
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End6.0
blue by 0.6
43.90.8
43.143.9
Auto13.9
Teleop22.1
End8.0
Third
9101
#38
38.81.0
39.038.0
Auto11.0
Teleop19.6
End8.4
red by 8.1
5459
#43
30.70.8
29.930.7
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned