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Red116
816735.7
314638.7
23844.8
Blue114
801350.8
17239.5
769430.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129128100110120140150160116114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#11
44.80.2
44.344.1
Auto12.9
Teleop22.5
End9.3
blue by 6.0
8013
#27
50.80.5
50.650.1
Auto12.4
Teleop30.1
End7.5
Second
3146
#21
38.70.2
38.938.7
Auto13.1
Teleop17.6
End7.7
blue by 0.8
172
#32
39.50.5
40.039.5
Auto10.1
Teleop23.4
End6.1
Third
8167
#41
35.70.2
36.035.7
Auto12.0
Teleop16.8
End7.0
red by 4.8
7694
#33
30.90.5
31.530.9
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsEarned58%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsMissed