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Red159
910138.8
568755.9
632966.3
Blue168
7851.0
872445.2
287750.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167153100120140160180200220159168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#17
66.30.1
65.565.6
Auto15.3
Teleop39.2
End9.7
red by 15.3
78
#16
51.00.4
50.450.8
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End8.6
Second
55.90.1
55.155.2
Auto15.3
Teleop32.8
End6.7
red by 5.0
2877
#18
50.90.4
50.350.7
Auto12.9
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Third
9101
#38
38.80.1
38.038.1
Auto11.0
Teleop19.6
End8.4
blue by 6.4
8724
#10
45.20.4
44.645.0
Auto12.3
Teleop24.1
End8.0