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Red183
456443.3
19568.6
808552.5
Blue151
110049.8
237050.0
801350.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17714880100120140160200220240183151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
68.60.1
68.668.6
Auto15.6
Teleop43.6
End8.7
red by 17.7
8013
#27
50.80.2
50.150.3
Auto12.4
Teleop30.1
End7.5
Second
8085
#26
52.50.1
52.552.6
Auto12.6
Teleop30.8
End8.5
red by 2.5
2370
#24
50.00.2
49.249.4
Auto12.4
Teleop28.1
End9.0
Third
4564
#15
43.30.1
43.343.4
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End6.0
blue by 6.5
49.80.2
49.049.2
Auto11.7
Teleop28.3
End8.9