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Red149
320553.0
632441.9
581347.6
Blue169
632966.3
568755.9
910138.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14916950100200250149169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.0
53.053.0
Auto13.0
Teleop31.4
End8.4
blue by 13.2
6329
#17
66.30.3
66.166.4
Auto15.3
Teleop39.2
End9.7
Second
5813
#19
47.60.0
47.547.6
Auto12.2
Teleop26.8
End8.5
blue by 8.3
55.90.3
55.756.0
Auto15.3
Teleop32.8
End6.7
Third
6324
#12
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto12.7
Teleop24.5
End4.8
red by 3.1
9101
#38
38.80.3
38.638.9
Auto11.0
Teleop19.6
End8.4