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Red160
456443.3
19568.6
808552.5
Blue171
740757.3
23844.8
13368.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175175150160170180190200160171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
68.60.3
68.968.6
Auto15.6
Teleop43.6
End8.7
red by 0.5
133
#2
68.10.1
67.667.7
Auto18.7
Teleop38.7
End10.4
Second
8085
#26
52.50.3
52.952.6
Auto12.6
Teleop30.8
End8.5
blue by 4.8
57.30.1
56.857.0
Auto16.6
Teleop32.3
End6.7
Third
4564
#15
43.30.3
43.743.4
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End6.0
blue by 1.5
238
#11
44.80.1
44.444.5
Auto12.9
Teleop22.5
End9.3