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Red152
12561.9
676334.8
31955.9
Blue152
581347.6
632441.9
320553.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162151120140180200220152152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#3
61.90.0
61.261.2
Auto17.9
Teleop33.9
End9.7
red by 8.9
53.00.1
53.353.4
Auto13.0
Teleop31.4
End8.4
Second
319
#9
55.90.0
55.255.2
Auto16.0
Teleop32.9
End7.0
red by 8.4
5813
#19
47.60.1
47.847.9
Auto12.2
Teleop26.8
End8.5
Third
6763
#29
34.80.0
34.134.2
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End8.0
blue by 7.0
6324
#12
41.90.1
42.242.2
Auto12.7
Teleop24.5
End4.8