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Red183
910138.8
568755.9
632966.3
Blue169
110049.8
237050.0
801350.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167150100120140160180200220240183169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#17
66.30.5
65.666.1
Auto15.3
Teleop39.2
End9.7
red by 15.4
8013
#27
50.80.6
50.350.8
Auto12.4
Teleop30.1
End7.5
Second
55.90.5
55.255.7
Auto15.3
Teleop32.8
End6.7
red by 5.9
2370
#24
50.00.6
49.450.0
Auto12.4
Teleop28.1
End9.0
Third
9101
#38
38.80.5
38.138.6
Auto11.0
Teleop19.6
End8.4
blue by 11.0
49.80.6
49.249.8
Auto11.7
Teleop28.3
End8.9