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Red134
802336.2
124719.7
17667.9
Blue152
346766.8
50937.2
404849.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13113750100150200250134152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#10
67.90.7
66.467.0
Auto16.4
Teleop39.6
End10.6
red by 1.0
66.81.3
58.760.0
Auto16.5
Teleop38.5
End9.9
Second
8023
#35
36.20.7
35.736.4
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End7.3
blue by 13.4
49.51.3
40.341.6
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End10.6
Third
1247
#45
19.70.7
21.722.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End6.0
blue by 17.5
509
#21
37.21.3
29.130.4
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned59%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned