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Red130
46742.9
50126.7
13849.5
Blue51
271345.3
17827.1
242327.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11310340608014016018013051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#13
49.51.3
45.046.3
Auto12.1
Teleop29.5
End7.0
red by 4.2
2713
#16
45.33.5
42.839.3
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End8.3
Second
467
#15
42.91.3
36.537.9
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End8.7
red by 15.1
2423
#43
27.83.5
26.222.7
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End6.5
Third
501
#44
26.71.3
23.424.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End8.0
blue by 0.4
178
#40
27.13.5
29.325.8
Auto13.0
Teleop12.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed70%Activation oddsMissed